The Registry

Falsification ledger

Every test we armed against ourselves

Each claim in the registry ships the test that would kill it. 82 are on record. 10 have fired — taking 7 claims to the graveyard and putting 2 in quarantine. Every one of those kills was our own. 27 have never been run, which is the honest weak spot in this table.

10 fired 1 failed, fixed same day 3 closed by enumeration 1 searched, nothing found 40 survived 27 never run

key↑	claim	domain	status▪	re-run↓
USR-2026-0043	A 7.8σ drift we quarantined ourselves Multi-probe bootstrap wₐ departure at 7.8σ. 7.8σ (quarantined ghost)	Dark energy	QUARANTINED	—
USR-2026-0042	A 6.8σ vacuum departure we quarantined ourselves Multi-probe bootstrap w₀ departure from -1 at 6.8σ. 6.8σ (quarantined ghost)	Dark energy	QUARANTINED	—
USR-2026-0075	Ten-vertex patterns close a route to an Erdős counterexample For every connected triangle-free graph H on 8, 9 or 10 vertices, the ASYMPTOTIC half-density of large balanced blowups of H — the limit of min-over-half-subsets(edges)/n² as the blowup grows, equal to the exact minimum of xᵀA(H)x/2 over {0 ≤ xᵢ ≤ 1/h, Σxᵢ = 1/2} — is at most 1/50. Exact maxima 1/64 (h=8), 1/81 (h=9), 1/50 (h=10), the last attained by exactly two patterns: the doubled C₅ and the Petersen graph. exact — rational arithmetic, no statistics involved	Mathematics	CONTESTED	2026-08-09
USR-2026-0074	A six-colouring of 29 points nobody had built B(6) ≥ 29: the edges of K_29 partition into six graphs each with independence number ≤ 6 — a balanced 6-colouring in which every 7 vertices see all six colours. Equivalently R_6^5(K_7) ≥ 30. exact — witness-verified, no statistics involved	Mathematics	PROVISIONAL	2026-08-09
USR-2026-0073	One collapse-noise window is still open, and testable The substrate-noise window is OPEN and experimentally live: GRW's collapse rate λ = 10⁻¹⁶ s⁻¹ at r_c = 10⁻⁷ m survives every published mass-proportional CSL bound — the tightest (Majorana Ge X-ray, coherent-nuclear channel) leaves ×49 headroom — while Adler's λ ≈ 10⁻⁸·⁵ is excluded by ×7 to ×6×10⁵ and GRW's original 1986 non-mass-proportional coupling is dead. 36–57% of the historically proposed GRW-to-Adler parameter box survives. MAQRO-class space interferometry reaches 1900× past GRW's point on a ~10–15 year horizon. GRW alive by ×49 at the tightest bound; Adler dead; MAQRO closes the window in ~10–15 years	Quantum foundations	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-31
USR-2026-0072	Causal sets get Λ's size right and its motion wrong Everpresent Λ — causal-set theory's fluctuating cosmological 'constant' — splits cleanly. Its magnitude prediction is real: Λ_rms = 1/√V₄ evaluates to 1.39× the observed Λ with this registry's own fitted H₀ (the only advance prediction of Λ's size in physics), and it tracks H² at every epoch, dissolving the why-now coincidence. But its dynamics are excluded by this registry's own pipeline: 0 of 2000 wandering-Λ realizations fit DESI DR2 + Pantheon+ + CMB better than ΛCDM (ensemble-typical Δχ² ≈ +3000; best single draw +260), 14% recollapse before reaching us, and 97% flip the sign of ρ_Λ inside z ≤ 2.5 — so w(z) is typically not even definable, the wrong shape for the registry's smooth 2.16σ descent. magnitude reproduced (1.39× observed); dynamics excluded — 0/2000 realizations beat ΛCDM	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-31
USR-2026-0016	Both satellites weakly prefer a large-scale cutoff Both Planck and WMAP weakly prefer a low-ℓ power cutoff (Planck Δχ² = 3.72 ≈ 1.4σ at ℓ_c = 2.6; WMAP ≈ 1.2σ at ℓ_c = 2.5) — a curiosity, not a detection. 1.2-1.4σ — curiosity, not detection	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-31
USR-2026-0012	WMAP's largest angles are missing their power The WMAP large-angle sky is anomalous: quadrupole 243 µK² (p = 0.052), cut-sky S_1/2 anomalous at p = 7.7×10⁻⁴ (3.2σ; 1.1×10⁻³ = 3.1σ under the literal full data path), and a 12.7° quadrupole–octopole alignment (p = 0.025). REVISED 2026-07-31: the earlier 'p < 0.0007' was a 0-of-1500 Monte-Carlo floor; the value above is measured on 10⁵ simulations with a beam-and-pixel-window-corrected null. ~3σ (cut-sky S_1/2) reproduced ≠ discovered	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-31
USR-2026-0071	Discreteness closes by weak prediction, not weak data The discreteness map is complete, and the frame-independent flank closes by weak PREDICTION, not weak data: FIRAS and cold cosmic hydrogen exclude unsuppressed Planckian momentum diffusion ('swerves') by 65–111 orders of magnitude, but causal-set theory derives no value for the diffusion constant κ — candidate scalings span >100 orders, the massive and photon sectors cross their bounds at different suppression powers (n* = 3.8 vs 2.0), and the next rung down is unreachable by 10³–10³⁰. No feasible swerve measurement distinguishes a Lorentz-invariant-discrete universe from a continuum. no discriminator in practice — bounds crush candidates by 15–111 orders, theory predicts no rung reproduced ≠ discovered	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0070	Emergent gravity has no observational discriminator Discriminator audit of the emergent-gravity programme, applied to our own work: the thermodynamic-derivation wing has NO observational discriminator. Non-equilibrium Jacobson yields f(R), whose unscreened form is dead by 2.2×10⁴ in PPN γ (Cassini) and whose screened survivor reproduces ΛCDM for any f_R0 including zero. Logarithmic horizon-entropy corrections are 56–120 orders of magnitude too small at every accessible scale. Every zero-parameter holographic dark-energy member is dead. Ġ/G from G ∝ 1/N_horizon is dead by 293×. NO discriminator in the wing we built; the one live prediction is systematics-limited reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0069	We audited ourselves and found one bad error bar Covariance audit of the live registry: of 56 live claims, exactly ONE (USR-2026-0003's local-structure half) uses diagonal errors on a dataset that ships a full covariance — and the registry had already flagged it. Re-running the flagship both ways quantifies the exposure: full covariance gives Δχ² = 6.973 (2.16σ), while dropping only the Pantheon+ off-diagonals inflates it to 17.934 (3.83σ) — a 1.77× significance inflation, the same mechanism that produced this registry's 6.8σ quarantine. 1 of 56 live claims exposed; diagonal errors inflate the flagship by 1.77× in σ reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0068	The dark-energy drift is not the vacuum running The measured dark-energy drift is NOT the vacuum's renormalisation-group running, for three independent reasons. Magnitude: fitting the running-vacuum form to DESI DR2 + Pantheon+ + CMB gives ν = +0.0015 ± 0.0014 (1.07σ), while the QFT running implies ν ≈ 4×10⁵³ — a ratio of 10^56.4. Shape: w_eff(0) = −1 exactly for EVERY ν, an algebraic identity, against a measured w₀ = −0.849. Form: the irreducible m⁴ running renormalises the additive constant, not the νH² term, so it cannot be ν at any magnitude. ν = +0.0015 ± 0.0014 (1.07σ) vs a QFT-implied 4×10⁵³ — a 10^56.4 gap, and the shape is wrong too reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0067	Unimodular gravity is blind to vacuum energy The trace-free (unimodular) form of Einstein's equations is exactly blind to vacuum energy: shifting T_μν → T_μν + ρ_vac·g_μν leaves all 16 components of the trace-free field equation IDENTICALLY zero on a fully general metric — while the standard form picks up a residual of −κρ_vac·g_μν. In FRW the trace-free equation reduces to Ḣ = −4πG(ρ+p), which depends on matter only through (ρ+p), so a vacuum with p = −ρ contributes nothing at all. vacuum-energy shift leaves the trace-free equations exactly zero; Λ becomes an integration constant reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0066	Lorentz invariance splits the vacuum-energy problem in two The vacuum-energy problem splits cleanly along Lorentz invariance. Lorentz-VIOLATING regulators (hard 3-momentum cutoff, spatial lattice) give w = +1/3 AND a quartic divergence; Lorentz-INVARIANT regulators (Pauli–Villars, dimensional regularisation) give w = −1 exactly AND no power divergence at all. The two columns are the same fact: a K⁴ term has no m⁴ to carry it, so it must be built from a regulator scale — and a Lorentz-invariant regulator has no preferred frame to build one from. Lorentz-violating ⟺ w = +1/3 + quartic divergence; Lorentz-invariant ⟺ w = −1, no power divergence reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0065	Our own measurement drives gravity's thermodynamic derivation Our own measured modular temperature drives the thermodynamic derivation of gravity: reading the boost from the full modular dispersion gives β(x) slope = 3.141533 with R² = 0.9999999995, matching 2π/v_F to 2×10⁻⁵, and the Clausius relation δQ/T = δS closes to 6.6×10⁻⁵ using that temperature — while the naive infinite-space formula is 150% wrong. Λ enters the derivation as an integration constant permitted by the Bianchi identity, not as a sum of zero-point energies. β(x) matches 2π/v_F to 2e-5; Clausius closes to 6.6e-5 on the measured temperature reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0064	Why w = −1 is an identity we can test The sharpest empirical handle on the vacuum: w = −1 is an identity for a true vacuum energy (Lorentz invariance forces T_μν = −ρ g_μν), not a fit parameter — so observation can test it. From this registry's corrected CPL fit (w₀ = −0.849, wₐ = −0.548), w crosses −1 at z = 0.380 and is phantom above it, at Δχ² = 6.97 on 2 dof = 2.16σ. That is NOT a detection: 24% of the way to 5σ, which needs σ(w₀) ≤ 0.030. 2.16σ — consistent with a constant vacuum, mildly prefers drift, not a detection reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0063	The anthropic bound explains less than advertised The anthropic bound on the vacuum energy explains far less than advertised: a four-way-validated linear growth ODE gives collapsed fractions 0.561, 0.210, 7×10⁻³, 6×10⁻⁹ as Λ grows ×1, ×10, ×100, ×1000, placing the ceiling at 6.4×, 35.5×, 108× the observed value at 50%, 10%, 1% thresholds. Granting a multiverse ensemble removes ~118.6 of 120.1 orders, leaving ~1.55; without granting the ensemble it explains zero. anthropic ceiling 6–108× observed; ~1.55 of 120 orders left over, and only if a multiverse is granted reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0062	The vacuum catastrophe is a choice of assumption The famous vacuum-energy discrepancy is not a number but a function of an assumption: against the observed 2.24 meV scale it is 10^120.7 at a Planck cutoff, 10^108.4 at GUT, 10^56.4 at 1 TeV, 10^41.6 at QCD, and exactly 1 at the observed scale by construction — four decades of exponent per decade of cutoff, with the loop-factor convention alone shifting every row by 2.2 dex. 10^120.7 at Planck cutoff — but 10^56.4 at a TeV; the exponent is assumption-laden, the problem is not reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0061	Entanglement transmits nothing Entanglement transmits nothing: across 18 interventions on one half of a critical chain (Haar unitaries, projective measurements, non-unital channels, a hard reset) the other half's state is unchanged to 9×10⁻¹⁶, and its full eigenvalue spectrum moves by 4×10⁻¹⁶ — so every observable is unaffected, not merely the tabulated ones. Holevo information about which intervention was chosen is exactly zero against 4.25 bits of choice entropy at the source. Holevo χ about the intervener's choice = 0 exactly (vs 4.25 bits at source) reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0060	A small patch cannot steer the whole system NEGATIVE RESULT bounding a popular claim: in a finite spin chain, operations confined to k sites reach exactly 4^k dimensions — the full local-algebra bound, versus only 2^k on an unentangled product state — but that is merely 0.1–1.6% of the full 2^N space. A small patch does NOT reach the whole space in finite dimensions; full cyclicity needs k = N/2, where float64 fails outright (3264 of 4096). reach = 4^k exactly — only 0.1–1.6% of the full space (not the whole) reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0059	A region of empty space has no state of its own A region of empty space has no state of its own: an 8-site block of vacuum has nonzero entropy and is mixed (1 − Tr ρ² = 0.988) while the whole ring is pure, and its mutual information with the complement equals exactly twice its entropy — 100% of an empty region's entropy is correlation with the rest. Proving correlations never vanish at maximum separation required 120-digit arithmetic (3.68×10⁻⁵⁷). I(A:Aᶜ) = 2·S(A) exactly — an empty region's entropy is 100% correlation reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0058	A two-sided black hole built from entanglement The thermofield double behaves exactly as ER=EPR describes a two-sided black hole: one side alone is perfectly thermal (trace distance 2.7×10⁻¹⁵ from the Gibbs state), the two-sided correlations equal the imaginary-time bridge correlator to 3.3×10⁻¹⁶, entanglement falls monotonically with β (hotter = more bridge), and the cross-side commutator is exactly zero. one side exactly thermal (2.7e-15); bridge identity to 3.3e-16; commutator exactly 0 reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0057	Entanglement counts a theory's degrees of freedom Entanglement counts degrees of freedom: fitting the Calabrese–Cardy law to block entropies alone recovers the central charge c = 0.500062 for the critical Ising chain (CFT value ½, converging to 0.500013 on inner windows) and c → 1 for the free boson as the regulator mass goes to zero. Two universality classes, both counted correctly from entanglement with no other input. c = 0.500062 (Ising, CFT ½) and c → 1 (boson) — read off entanglement alone reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0056	The vacuum's entanglement Hamiltonian is a boost The entanglement Hamiltonian of half the vacuum is a boost: at 200-digit precision the nearest-neighbour couplings ramp linearly with distance from the entangling cut (R² = 0.998–0.999), with the exact near-cut coupling t₁ = 3.141539 matching 2π/v_F to 1.7×10⁻⁵. The implied local temperature T(x) = 1/(2πx) is the Unruh effect on a lattice — and the T in Jacobson's Clausius relation. boost linearity R² = 0.998–0.999 (200-digit); near-cut t₁ = π to 1.7e-5 reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0055	Space rebuilt from entanglement alone Space can be reconstructed from entanglement alone: fed only the mutual-information matrix of a 64-site oscillator ring (blindness proven by a permutation test), classical MDS recovers the ring at r = 0.995 against true geodesics with 93% of the spectrum in a single Fourier pair. Removing entanglement tears space by DISCONNECTION rather than distortion — surviving pairs keep r ≈ 0.99 while the graph shatters. blind reconstruction r = 0.995; connectivity collapses 1.00 → 0 as entanglement is removed reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0054	Entropy rises in both directions of time In an exactly reversible HPP lattice gas (Loschmidt echo returns the initial state bit-for-bit), coarse-grained entropy rises in BOTH time directions away from a low-entropy initial state. The thermodynamic arrow of time lives in the boundary condition, not the dynamical laws (Boltzmann, demonstrated exactly). arrow in the state, not the laws — echo bit-exact, entropy rises both ways reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0053	A polymer's pull comes from counting states alone A polymer with zero energy in every configuration exerts a real tension matching T·dS/dx from pure state counting (Monte Carlo vs exact enumeration, max deviation 4.5×10⁻⁴). Verlinde's holographic-screen composition (Unruh temperature + N = Ac³/Għ bits + equipartition) returns Newton's F = GMm/r² to 2×10⁻¹⁶ — an algebraic identity given its assumptions, recorded as a consistency check, not evidence that nature's gravity is entropic. entropic force real (4.5e-4 match) · Newton composition = algebraic identity, not evidence reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0052	Entanglement obeys a first law of thermodynamics The first law of entanglement δS = δ⟨K_A⟩ holds in an interacting transverse-field Ising ground state: the ratio reaches 0.9945 at ε=10⁻³ and relative entropy is positive and quadratic (log-log slope 2.05). This is the identity from which linearized Einstein equations emerge in holographic derivations (Faulkner et al. 2013), verified exactly in a spin chain. δS/δ⟨K⟩ → 0.9945 at ε=1e-3 · rel. entropy positive, quadratic (slope 2.05) reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0051	Time emerges inside a frozen quantum universe A globally static quantum state contains ordinary time evolution for internal observers: the solver-found null state of a clock+qubit constraint is stationary to machine precision (⟨H²⟩ ≈ 6×10⁻³⁰, global qubit maximally mixed), yet conditioned on the clock the qubit Rabi-oscillates at full amplitude, matching Schrödinger evolution to 4×10⁻¹⁶ (Page–Wootters 1983, recomputed). Time as clock–system entanglement in a toy model — not a claim about nature's time. ⟨H²⟩ ≈ 6e-30 global · conditional evolution matches Schrödinger to 4e-16 reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0050	Empty space stores its entropy on the boundary The vacuum of a free lattice scalar field carries entanglement entropy that scales with a region's boundary, not its volume: fitted 3D exponent 2.09±0.01 (area predicts 2, volume 3), 2D 1.05 (perimeter), 1D flat to 9 digits. Bekenstein–Hawking-like area scaling emerges from a bare field theory with no gravity input (Srednicki 1993, independently recomputed). 3D exponent 2.09 (area = 2, volume = 3) — fit s.e. ±0.01, not an evidence σ reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum information	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0020	The sky is lopsided, but only at large angles The hemispherical power asymmetry peaks at 2.0σ (p = 0.0250) at LMAX = 64 toward (l,b) = (228°, -24°) — 7° from Lepus — and vanishes (0.2σ) by LMAX = 96. 2.0σ at LMAX = 64; 0.2σ by LMAX = 96 reproduced ≠ discovered	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0003	Every supernova compilation shows the same drift The evolving-DE preference appears in all three SN compilations refit through one pipeline: Pantheon+ Δχ² = 6.96 (2.16σ), DES-SN5YR 8.95 (2.53σ), Union3 11.83 (3.00σ). Separately and more weakly, the local-structure escape hatch falls about 5× short on a diagonal-covariance shell and dipole test. 2.16σ / 2.53σ / 3.00σ across three SN compilations (post-Lyman-α-fix) reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0001	Dark energy is drifting, not constant Dark energy evolves: a CPL (w₀, wₐ) fit to DESI DR2 BAO + CMB + Pantheon+ beats ΛCDM by Δχ² = 6.97 (2.16σ), with w₀ = -0.849 and wₐ = -0.548. CORRECTED 2026-07-26: the earlier Δχ² = 8.2 (2.4σ) used a transposed DESI Lyman-α covariance pairing — see the audit log. Δχ² = 6.97 → 2.16σ (was 2.39σ before the Lyα covariance fix) reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0049	MOND's acceleration scale is mildly disfavoured In the SPARC radial-acceleration relation, the parameter-free MOND acceleration scale a₀ is mildly disfavored. The canonical a₀ sits +2.6σ above the data's own per-galaxy median offset (+0.116 dex); the zero-parameter cosmological guesses cH₀/2π and cH₀/6 land at +1.6σ and +2.0σ; a free-fit a₀ is consistent (+0.3σ). canonical a₀ +2.6σ_median; free-fit +0.3σ_median	Galactic dynamics	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-12
USR-2026-0048	No gap in the GD-1 stellar stream The GD-1 stellar stream shows no statistically significant density gap. The deepest local under-density (z = −5.0 in a single bin at φ₁ = −21°) has a look-elsewhere-corrected global significance of p = 0.587 across 39 bins and 5000 smooth+Poisson simulations — consistent with an unperturbed stream. global p = 0.587 — not significant	Galactic dynamics	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-12
USR-2026-0041	One gamma-ray photon pushes discreteness past Planck energy Assuming the 31 GeV photon of GRB 090510 (z = 0.903) was emitted within Δt ≤ 1 s of the low-energy photons, linear-in-energy vacuum dispersion requires E_QG > 1.4×10¹⁹ GeV — of order the Planck energy. The limit scales exactly as 1/Δt and carries no quoted uncertainty on that association window. E_QG > 1.4e19 GeV, of order Planck — scales as 1/Δt on an unquantified 1 s window	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0040	No cubic lattice imprint in the quasar sky No cubic lattice anisotropy in the quasar sky: cubic ℓ = 4 signal at p = 0.2298 (battery NULL, p = 0.230); any cube-aligned distortion is below 1.20% rms (95% CL). null result — cube distortion < 1.20% rms (95%)	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0039	Three quasar isotropy checks, stated separately Three separate results, stated separately. The quasar multipole battery (ℓ = 1–8, p = 0.226–0.495) draws its null from the data's own C_ℓ, so it is a self-consistency check that constrains nothing about isotropy. The eROSITA L_X–T residual dipole (amplitude 0.0996, p = 0.002) correlates with galactic-absorption proxies and is NOT claimed as cosmological pending an absorption-corrected refit. No shared axis was found among the measured axes at the sensitivity of a five-axis random-axis test (p = 0.20). three separate results — one is not an isotropy test at all	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0038	The universe holds far fewer bits than Planck volumes Recomputation of a known bound, not a measurement: evaluating the Bekenstein–Hawking bound S = A/(4ℓ_p²) for a sphere of radius 4.4×10²⁶ m gives 3.4×10¹²³ bits, about 10⁶² times fewer than one bit per Planck volume. a recomputed bound (3.4e123 bits) — nothing was measured against it	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0037	A cutoff divergence is framing, not evidence Framing, not evidence: a hard-cutoff one-loop integral diverges logarithmically, and renormalization absorbs that cutoff-dependence into the bare coupling so physical amplitudes are cutoff-independent. This is standard effective-field-theory bookkeeping with a complete non-simulation reading — the cutoff encodes ignorance of physics above it. no discriminator — recorded as framing, not evidence	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0036	Photons show no sign of a fundamental tick No discrete-clock signature: photon arrival times show no energy-dependent dispersion attributable to a fundamental tick. null result — no dispersion	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0035	Nature is not doing floating-point arithmetic No floating-point artifacts in nature: naive machine-precision arithmetic as the substrate of physics is ruled out. null result — naive floats ruled out	Spacetime discreteness	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0034	No hidden pattern in delivered quantum random bits No lazy-PRNG structure found in the delivered quantum bits examined: 32,768 post-processed ANU vacuum-fluctuation bits (bias 0.0003, compression 1.003, next-bit prediction 0.501) and 56,832 SHA-512-whitened NIST beacon bits (bias 0.0006, compression 1.002, prediction 0.506), with weak-LCG and LFSR-32 controls correctly caught. null on delivered quantum bits — bounds the delivered stream, not the raw device	Quantum foundations	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0033	Macroscopic definiteness needs no observer Macroscopic definiteness needs no observer: the standard GRW/CSL objective-collapse law (Λ = λN², λ = 1e-16 s⁻¹) makes a 1 µm dust grain definite in 2.8×10⁻⁸ s and a 6×10⁹ kg mass in 7.7×10⁻⁵⁸ s — far below any resolvable timescale, with no role for an observer. definite in ≲10⁻⁸ s (1 µm grain) under GRW/CSL objective collapse — no observer required reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum foundations	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0032	Which-path information erases the double-slit fringes A time-dependent Schrödinger double-slit simulation reproduces two effects: fringe visibility falls from 0.883 to 0.000 as the which-path marker overlap goes to zero, and complementary-basis sub-ensembles recover anti-phased fringes that sum back to the flat pattern, with closure verified to 1×10⁻⁶. visibility 0.883 → 0.000 with the marker; eraser closure to 1e-6 reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum foundations	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0031	How much a stronger-than-quantum box would leak Accessible information under single-box information causality is 0.798 bits at S = 2√2 and 2.000 bits at S = 4, and van Dam's one-bit protocol succeeds at every n with a PR box while decaying to 0.498 by n = 16 with quantum correlations. But the 1-bit budget is crossed at S = 3.12, NOT at 2√2 — the quantum ceiling does not coincide with this bound. 0.798 bits at 2√2; the 1-bit budget crosses at S = 3.12, not at 2√2 reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum foundations	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0030	A simulated Bell test lands on Tsirelson's bound A from-scratch CHSH Monte Carlo reproduces Tsirelson's bound: simulated \|S\| = 2.829 matches the quantum analytic value 2√2 = 2.828, exceeds the local-realist bound 2.000, and sits below the PR-box ceiling 4.000. This is a textbook result recomputed — a check that the code obeys quantum mechanics, not a measurement of nature. simulation reproduces 2√2 = 2.828 (textbook; not a significance) reproduced ≠ discovered	Quantum foundations	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0029	What polarization could add at low multipoles Conditional forecast, ratios only: in this computation σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T), so the four quoted sensitivities are one calibration and three mode-count ratios — E-modes are 84% independent of temperature at low ℓ, giving LiteBIRD E ≈ 2.5σ and T+E ≈ 3.4σ relative to a Planck-T value that is an INPUT, not a result. ratios only: σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T); the 2.5 is an input	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0028	Where the asymmetry axis actually points Coordinate recomputation, no significance computed: the pipeline's measured asymmetry axis (221°, −24°) is RA 5.6h, Dec −17°, in Lepus, at ecliptic latitude −41°. Its separations from hardcoded reference directions are 13.9° (published Planck power-asymmetry direction), 23.9° (Dipole Repeller), 34.1° (CMB Cold Spot). coordinate arithmetic only — no significance claimed or computed	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0027	No excess or deficit on the largest scale of all No detection of either excess or deficit on the largest observable scale: P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08, i.e. 0.84σ from standard. The data do not require extra large-scale power and cannot exclude up to about 2.2× standard. Below k = 1.5×10⁻⁴ Mpc⁻¹ the reconstruction is formally unconstrained (errors 262% to 142001%). P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08 — 0.84σ from standard, i.e. no detection either way	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0026	The asymmetry lives only at the largest angles The power asymmetry's excess over ΛCDM is confined to ℓ ≲ 40. The raw amplitude falls from A ≈ 0.107 to ≈ 0.02 across ℓ = 2–220, but the ΛCDM null falls across the same bands and the observed decline has not been shown to exceed it. Under a conservative mask the significance is 0.94σ (p = 0.173). excess confined to ℓ ≲ 40; 0.94σ under a conservative mask	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0025	The lopsided axis is not our own galaxy The asymmetry axis is not a foreground: raw single-frequency asymmetries (0.212/0.161/0.476) and the 143-217 GHz difference point at the galaxy (within 3°), while the cleaned maps agree with each other — WMAP ILC 0.139 at 25° and Planck SMICA 0.151 at 24° from Lepus. diagnostic — axis is not foregrounds	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0024	The oldest light varies more on one side The CMB low-ℓ variance dipole is significant in this pipeline: A = 0.102 toward (l,b) = (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 — zero of 200 ΛCDM realizations exceeded the observed amplitude, so 200 sims cap the reportable significance near 2.6σ. Single configuration; no second pipeline, cleaning or mask has confirmed it. A = 0.102 toward (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 (200-sim floor, ~2.6σ ceiling) reproduced ≠ discovered	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0021	No scar from a collision with another universe No bubble-collision signature in the CMB: global p = 0.903 (0.0σ); the best local candidate is a cold disk of radius 10° at (214°, -27°) with local S/N 2.6, and the Cold Spot itself scores only 1.7. null — p = 0.903 (0.0σ)	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0019	A mirrored corner reproduces both sky anomalies A corner (reflecting-corner) observer reproduces both halves of the anomaly — ⟨parity⟩ → 0.52 with a low quadrupole, KDE likelihood ratio ≈ 4.8× over ΛCDM — but its predicted anti-mirror correlation (S_min = -0.332 ± 0.102) is not detected: observed S_min = -0.233, the 69th percentile of ΛCDM skies. likelihood ratio ~4.8× — suggestive; predicted signature not detected	Cosmic geometry	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0017	Counting the looks shrinks the large-angle anomaly After look-elsewhere correction the joint large-angle boundary anomaly is 0.8–1.6σ. The 1.6σ is the most favourable end of that range, not a single answer: it assumes 5 effective independent looks (1.24σ at 10, 1.01σ at 15), and excluding the method-fragile alignment term leaves 0.75σ. 0.8–1.6σ post-LEE — a range set by two stated choices, not a single number	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0015	Polarization does not settle the missing power TE polarization does not decide the missing-power question: S_1/2^TE has p = 0.203, leaning low but not decisive. p = 0.203 — not decisive	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0014	The missing power survives every map cleaning The large-angle missing power survives all four map cleanings (D₂ = 243/200/184/198 µK²; S_1/2 anomalous at >3σ in every cleaning), while the alignment axis is fragile (3-30° spread). >3σ missing power; axis fragile	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0013	Planck confirms the missing large-angle power Planck SMICA independently confirms the large-angle missing power seen in WMAP (C₂ = 200 µK², p = 0.030). The quadrupole–octopole alignment does NOT independently confirm: the registered 3.0° came from an unmasked full-sky transform, while this seam's own masked estimator reports 23.8° (p = 0.085). C₂ = 200 µK² (p = 0.030) confirms missing power; alignment is 23.8° masked, not 3.0° reproduced ≠ discovered	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0011	How far a bigger sky could push a cutoff test Mode-counting scaling argument (not a Fisher forecast — no instrument noise models were used): if the significance of a horizon-scale primordial cutoff scales as the square root of the number of independent modes, then the 1.4σ CMB-temperature baseline tops out near ~2σ once partly-independent E-modes and LSS/ISW are added, because every probe at our epoch samples the same finite set of horizon-scale modes. ~2σ ceiling from a mode-counting argument, not an instrument forecast	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0010	Quasars and the oldest light correlate, weakly A matched-filter cross-correlation of Planck SMICA with 756k Quaia quasars gives a positive temperature–galaxy cross-power at 2.2σ against a no-ISW null. Only the sign and 'at least ΛCDM level' are claimed: the fitted amplitude A = 5.00 ± 2.28 carries statistical error only. 2.2σ positive ISW cross-power; amplitude normalisation systematic-limited, NOT a tension reproduced ≠ discovered	CMB	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0009	The universe is spatially flat The universe is spatially flat: Ω_k = +0.0025 ± 0.0019 with CMB+BAO+SN (1.3σ from zero); geometry-only data (BAO+SN, no CMB) allow Ω_k = +0.0320 ± 0.0174. null result — flat (Ω_k = +0.0025 ± 0.0019)	Cosmic geometry	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0008	An oscillating dark energy ties the standard fit On this data combination the CPL best fit is not uniquely selected: a five-parameter oscillating form ties it (χ² = 1413.72 versus 1414.11). But at its best fit the amplitude is pinned against the code's own A < 1.5 bound with a 24-e-fold period against 1.25 e-folds of data, so the 'oscillation' is a monotone segment — and CPL still wins on AIC by 1.6. χ² tie (1413.72 vs 1414.11) but the oscillator is pinned at a code bound; CPL wins on AIC by 1.6	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0005	No late-time fix reaches the local Hubble value Of the five late-time dark-energy candidates tested, none reaches H₀ = 73 when SH0ES is included — all cap at 69.25–70.24. Only a free sound horizon does, reaching H₀ = 73.06 at ΔAIC = −13.46 with r_d shrunk 2.96% (~4.4 Mpc). Within CPL the fit crosses w = −1 at z = 0.381. five late-time candidates cap at H₀ = 69.25–70.24; only free r_d reaches 73 reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0004	Dark energy's pressure changes across cosmic time Binned w(z) rises from -0.920 ± 0.040 (z = 0.0-0.4) through -1.078 ± 0.093 (z = 0.4-1.0) to -1.537 ± 0.282 (z = 1.0-2.5); the trend survives dropping all SNe but dies without BAO. BAO-anchored trend — no independent σ quoted reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0002	The Hubble constant disagrees with itself The Hubble tension is real in this pipeline: post-Lyman-α-fix inverse-ladder H₀ = 68.71 ± 0.39 versus SH0ES 73.04 ± 1.04 — a 3.90σ gap. 3.90σ gap (registered as 4.4σ before the Lyman-α fix) reproduced ≠ discovered	Dark energy	PROVISIONAL	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0044	Gravity does not weaken with redshift The growth index γ evolves from 0.41 (z < 0.3) to 0.10 (z > 1) — gravity weakens with redshift. was 4.84σ claimed — 1.03σ on independent reproduction, opposite sign	Structure growth	KILLED	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0007	A sign-switching vacuum is not preferred after all Sign-switching Λ (Λs-CDM) is NOT preferred by this data: ΔAIC = +1.50 versus ΛCDM with SH0ES included, with the vacuum flip at z = 3.11. The registered ΔAIC = −2.5 at z ≈ 2.0 came from the transposed DESI Lyman-α covariance pairing and does not reproduce. ΔAIC = +1.50 — disfavoured (registered as −2.5, preferred)	Dark energy	KILLED	2026-07-26
USR-2026-0047	The wide-binary MOND boost was an estimator artefact A Gaia wide-binary velocity analysis shows an apparent MOND-direction boost, but only under a clip-biased median estimator (residual 1.167). The unbiased mean gives residual 0.948 [0.939–0.958] — consistent with Newton. The boost is an estimator artifact of debiasing in the noise-dominated a₀ regime, where 28.7% of pairs are clipped. residual 0.948 [0.939–0.958] — Newtonian (was 1.167 under clip-biased median)	Galactic dynamics	KILLED	2026-07-12
USR-2026-0023	The quasar dipole excess belonged to the catalogue The Quaia quasar-dipole excess (raw D = 0.0208, 9.9σ over shot noise) is not cosmological: adversarial magnitude and galactic-latitude cuts collapse it to D = 0.0066, inside the kinematic expectation band. was 9.9σ raw — kinematic (0.0066) after cuts	CMB	KILLED	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0022	One giant wave cannot tilt the sky A single super-horizon wave cannot cause the tilt: matching the dipole-free asymmetry requires λ ≥ 308× the observable diameter, while the observed quadrupole caps it at λ ≤ 4× — the window is shut. killed — the vise (308× vs 4×)	CMB	KILLED	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0018	No simple box-shaped universe fits the sky No simple-box cosmic topology works: across torus, Dirichlet, and Neumann boundary conditions the simulated even/odd parity ratio stays at 0.97-1.05 — no box reproduces the sky's odd-parity preference. killed — no box makes odd parity	Cosmic geometry	KILLED	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0006	Holographic dark energy is ruled out Holographic dark energy (Hubble-horizon HDE) is ruled out by information criteria: ΔAIC = +37.5 versus ΛCDM. killed — ΔAIC +37.5	Dark energy	KILLED	2026-07-09
USR-2026-0045	Early results whose scripts no longer exist Early-generation (gen1-~31) Dark Energy pipeline results exist only as ingested summaries — their analysis scripts no longer exist. unverifiable — scripts lost	Dark energy	NOT RERUNNABLE	—
USR-2026-0046	The universe as the inside of a black hole The observable universe is the interior of a black hole. speculation — no measurement	Cosmic geometry	SPECULATIVE	—

Open to the field This registry is not just ours — register any published result you want checked and it enters like everything else: provenance bundle, kill test, status set from a public audit, labeled reproduced ≠ discovered. How submission works →

The graveyard

Claims we killed, and what killed them

USR-2026-0044 2026-07-26

The growth index γ evolves from 0.41 (z < 0.3) to 0.10 (z > 1) — gravity weakens with redshift.

Died by its own kill test, on our own data, at our own hand. The 4.84σ evolution reproduces at 1.03σ with the sign reversed, no jackknife sample recovers it, and the claimed Δχ² is arithmetically unreachable given how well the no-evolution model already fits. The autopsy is the useful part: fσ₈ loses 93% of its sensitivity to γ by z ≈ 2, and γ is 91% correlated with σ₈ — so a high-z γ 'measurement' is mostly the amplitude degeneracy talking. Gravity does not weaken with redshift in this data; it looks like General Relativity (γ = 0.525 ± 0.077 vs 0.55). Post-mortem addendum: fixing a wrong fσ₈ point uncovered during the autopsy makes the evidence against this claim stronger, not weaker — γ_a moves from +0.63 to +1.19 while the claim requires about −0.68.

USR-2026-0007 2026-07-26

Sign-switching Λ (Λs-CDM) is NOT preferred by this data: ΔAIC = +1.50 versus ΛCDM with SH0ES included, with the vacuum flip at z = 3.11. The...

Published as weakly preferred at ΔAIC = −2.5; re-runs at +1.50, which is disfavoured. The whole reversal came from one transposed covariance block — the same Lyman-α pairing error that cost USR-2026-0001 a quarter of a sigma. Killed not because the idea is bad but because our own number was wrong, and the corrected number points the other way. The lesson is propagation: this claim sat unchanged for hours after the fix that invalidated it.

USR-2026-0047 2026-07-12

A Gaia wide-binary velocity analysis shows an apparent MOND-direction boost, but only under a clip-biased median estimator (residual 1.167). The...

Killed by its own estimator audit: the MOND boost lived only in the clip-biased median. Under the unbiased mean the wide binaries are Newtonian (0.948). The 28.7% clip rate in the a₀ regime was doing the work.

USR-2026-0023 2026-07-09

The Quaia quasar-dipole excess (raw D = 0.0208, 9.9σ over shot noise) is not cosmological: adversarial magnitude and galactic-latitude cuts...

The adversarial battery did its job: 9.9σ of raw excess collapsed to a kinematic D = 0.0066 under magnitude and latitude cuts. The dipole belonged to the catalog, not the cosmos.