The Registry

Every claim, its computed status, and its receipts. Filter by status — the quarantine is not hidden; it is the front door.

ALL (73) QUARANTINED (2) PROVISIONAL (62) KILLED (7) NOT RERUNNABLE (1) SPECULATIVE (1)
Open to the field This registry is not just ours — register any published result you want checked and it enters like everything else: provenance bundle, kill test, computed status, labeled reproduced ≠ discovered. How submission works →
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USR-2026-0001 Dark energy evolves: a CPL (w₀, wₐ) fit to DESI DR2 BAO + CMB + Pantheon+ beats ΛCDM by Δχ² = 6.97 (2.16σ), with w₀ = -0.849 and wₐ = -0.548. CORRECTED 2026-07-26: the earlier Δχ² = 8.2 (2.4σ) used a transposed DESI Lyman-α covariance pairing — see the audit log. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy Δχ² = 6.97 → 2.16σ (was 2.39σ before the Lyα covariance fix) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0002 The Hubble tension is real in this pipeline: post-Lyman-α-fix inverse-ladder H₀ = 68.71 ± 0.39 versus SH0ES 73.04 ± 1.04 — a 3.90σ gap. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy 3.90σ gap (registered as 4.4σ before the Lyman-α fix) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0003 The evolving-DE preference appears in all three SN compilations refit through one pipeline: Pantheon+ Δχ² = 6.96 (2.16σ), DES-SN5YR 8.95 (2.53σ), Union3 11.83 (3.00σ). Separately and more weakly, the local-structure escape hatch falls about 5× short on a diagonal-covariance shell and dipole test. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy 2.16σ / 2.53σ / 3.00σ across three SN compilations (post-Lyman-α-fix) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0004 Binned w(z) rises from -0.920 ± 0.040 (z = 0.0-0.4) through -1.078 ± 0.093 (z = 0.4-1.0) to -1.537 ± 0.282 (z = 1.0-2.5); the trend survives dropping all SNe but dies without BAO. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy BAO-anchored trend — no independent σ quoted PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0005 Of the five late-time dark-energy candidates tested, none reaches H₀ = 73 when SH0ES is included — all cap at 69.25–70.24. Only a free sound horizon does, reaching H₀ = 73.06 at ΔAIC = −13.46 with r_d shrunk 2.96% (~4.4 Mpc). Within CPL the fit crosses w = −1 at z = 0.381. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy five late-time candidates cap at H₀ = 69.25–70.24; only free r_d reaches 73 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0008 On this data combination the CPL best fit is not uniquely selected: a five-parameter oscillating form ties it (χ² = 1413.72 versus 1414.11). But at its best fit the amplitude is pinned against the code's own A < 1.5 bound with a 24-e-fold period against 1.25 e-folds of data, so the 'oscillation' is a monotone segment — and CPL still wins on AIC by 1.6. Dark energy χ² tie (1413.72 vs 1414.11) but the oscillator is pinned at a code bound; CPL wins on AIC by 1.6 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0009 The universe is spatially flat: Ω_k = +0.0025 ± 0.0019 with CMB+BAO+SN (1.3σ from zero); geometry-only data (BAO+SN, no CMB) allow Ω_k = +0.0320 ± 0.0174. Topology null result — flat (Ω_k = +0.0025 ± 0.0019) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0010 A matched-filter cross-correlation of Planck SMICA with 756k Quaia quasars gives a positive temperature–galaxy cross-power at 2.2σ against a no-ISW null. Only the sign and 'at least ΛCDM level' are claimed: the fitted amplitude A = 5.00 ± 2.28 carries statistical error only. reproduced ≠ discovered CMB 2.2σ positive ISW cross-power; amplitude normalisation systematic-limited, NOT a tension PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0011 Mode-counting scaling argument (not a Fisher forecast — no instrument noise models were used): if the significance of a horizon-scale primordial cutoff scales as the square root of the number of independent modes, then the 1.4σ CMB-temperature baseline tops out near ~2σ once partly-independent E-modes and LSS/ISW are added, because every probe at our epoch samples the same finite set of horizon-scale modes. CMB ~2σ ceiling from a mode-counting argument, not an instrument forecast PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0012 The WMAP large-angle sky is anomalous: quadrupole 243 µK² (p = 0.052), cut-sky S_1/2 anomalous at p = 7.7×10⁻⁴ (3.2σ; 1.1×10⁻³ = 3.1σ under the literal full data path), and a 12.7° quadrupole–octopole alignment (p = 0.025). REVISED 2026-07-31: the earlier 'p < 0.0007' was a 0-of-1500 Monte-Carlo floor; the value above is measured on 10⁵ simulations with a beam-and-pixel-window-corrected null. reproduced ≠ discovered CMB ~3σ (cut-sky S_1/2) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-31
USR-2026-0013 Planck SMICA independently confirms the large-angle missing power seen in WMAP (C₂ = 200 µK², p = 0.030). The quadrupole–octopole alignment does NOT independently confirm: the registered 3.0° came from an unmasked full-sky transform, while this seam's own masked estimator reports 23.8° (p = 0.085). reproduced ≠ discovered CMB C₂ = 200 µK² (p = 0.030) confirms missing power; alignment is 23.8° masked, not 3.0° PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0014 The large-angle missing power survives all four map cleanings (D₂ = 243/200/184/198 µK²; S_1/2 anomalous at >3σ in every cleaning), while the alignment axis is fragile (3-30° spread). CMB >3σ missing power; axis fragile PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0015 TE polarization does not decide the missing-power question: S_1/2^TE has p = 0.203, leaning low but not decisive. CMB p = 0.203 — not decisive PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0016 Both Planck and WMAP weakly prefer a low-ℓ power cutoff (Planck Δχ² = 3.72 ≈ 1.4σ at ℓ_c = 2.6; WMAP ≈ 1.2σ at ℓ_c = 2.5) — a curiosity, not a detection. CMB 1.2-1.4σ — curiosity, not detection PROVISIONAL 2026-07-31
USR-2026-0017 After look-elsewhere correction the joint large-angle boundary anomaly is 0.8–1.6σ. The 1.6σ is the most favourable end of that range, not a single answer: it assumes 5 effective independent looks (1.24σ at 10, 1.01σ at 15), and excluding the method-fragile alignment term leaves 0.75σ. CMB 0.8–1.6σ post-LEE — a range set by two stated choices, not a single number PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0019 A corner (reflecting-corner) observer reproduces both halves of the anomaly — ⟨parity⟩ → 0.52 with a low quadrupole, KDE likelihood ratio ≈ 4.8× over ΛCDM — but its predicted anti-mirror correlation (S_min = -0.332 ± 0.102) is not detected: observed S_min = -0.233, the 69th percentile of ΛCDM skies. Topology likelihood ratio ~4.8× — suggestive; predicted signature not detected PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0020 The hemispherical power asymmetry peaks at 2.0σ (p = 0.0250) at LMAX = 64 toward (l,b) = (228°, -24°) — 7° from Lepus — and vanishes (0.2σ) by LMAX = 96. reproduced ≠ discovered CMB 2.0σ at LMAX = 64; 0.2σ by LMAX = 96 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0021 No bubble-collision signature in the CMB: global p = 0.903 (0.0σ); the best local candidate is a cold disk of radius 10° at (214°, -27°) with local S/N 2.6, and the Cold Spot itself scores only 1.7. CMB null — p = 0.903 (0.0σ) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0024 The CMB low-ℓ variance dipole is significant in this pipeline: A = 0.102 toward (l,b) = (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 — zero of 200 ΛCDM realizations exceeded the observed amplitude, so 200 sims cap the reportable significance near 2.6σ. Single configuration; no second pipeline, cleaning or mask has confirmed it. reproduced ≠ discovered CMB A = 0.102 toward (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 (200-sim floor, ~2.6σ ceiling) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0025 The asymmetry axis is not a foreground: raw single-frequency asymmetries (0.212/0.161/0.476) and the 143-217 GHz difference point at the galaxy (within 3°), while the cleaned maps agree with each other — WMAP ILC 0.139 at 25° and Planck SMICA 0.151 at 24° from Lepus. CMB diagnostic — axis is not foregrounds PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0026 The power asymmetry's excess over ΛCDM is confined to ℓ ≲ 40. The raw amplitude falls from A ≈ 0.107 to ≈ 0.02 across ℓ = 2–220, but the ΛCDM null falls across the same bands and the observed decline has not been shown to exceed it. Under a conservative mask the significance is 0.94σ (p = 0.173). CMB excess confined to ℓ ≲ 40; 0.94σ under a conservative mask PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0027 No detection of either excess or deficit on the largest observable scale: P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08, i.e. 0.84σ from standard. The data do not require extra large-scale power and cannot exclude up to about 2.2× standard. Below k = 1.5×10⁻⁴ Mpc⁻¹ the reconstruction is formally unconstrained (errors 262% to 142001%). CMB P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08 — 0.84σ from standard, i.e. no detection either way PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0028 Coordinate recomputation, no significance computed: the pipeline's measured asymmetry axis (221°, −24°) is RA 5.6h, Dec −17°, in Lepus, at ecliptic latitude −41°. Its separations from hardcoded reference directions are 13.9° (published Planck power-asymmetry direction), 23.9° (Dipole Repeller), 34.1° (CMB Cold Spot). CMB coordinate arithmetic only — no significance claimed or computed PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0029 Conditional forecast, ratios only: in this computation σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T), so the four quoted sensitivities are one calibration and three mode-count ratios — E-modes are 84% independent of temperature at low ℓ, giving LiteBIRD E ≈ 2.5σ and T+E ≈ 3.4σ relative to a Planck-T value that is an INPUT, not a result. CMB ratios only: σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T); the 2.5 is an input PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0030 A from-scratch CHSH Monte Carlo reproduces Tsirelson's bound: simulated |S| = 2.829 matches the quantum analytic value 2√2 = 2.828, exceeds the local-realist bound 2.000, and sits below the PR-box ceiling 4.000. This is a textbook result recomputed — a check that the code obeys quantum mechanics, not a measurement of nature. reproduced ≠ discovered Quantum simulation reproduces 2√2 = 2.828 (textbook; not a significance) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0031 Accessible information under single-box information causality is 0.798 bits at S = 2√2 and 2.000 bits at S = 4, and van Dam's one-bit protocol succeeds at every n with a PR box while decaying to 0.498 by n = 16 with quantum correlations. But the 1-bit budget is crossed at S = 3.12, NOT at 2√2 — the quantum ceiling does not coincide with this bound. reproduced ≠ discovered Quantum 0.798 bits at 2√2; the 1-bit budget crosses at S = 3.12, not at 2√2 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0032 A time-dependent Schrödinger double-slit simulation reproduces two effects: fringe visibility falls from 0.883 to 0.000 as the which-path marker overlap goes to zero, and complementary-basis sub-ensembles recover anti-phased fringes that sum back to the flat pattern, with closure verified to 1×10⁻⁶. reproduced ≠ discovered Quantum visibility 0.883 → 0.000 with the marker; eraser closure to 1e-6 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0033 Macroscopic definiteness needs no observer: the standard GRW/CSL objective-collapse law (Λ = λN², λ = 1e-16 s⁻¹) makes a 1 µm dust grain definite in 2.8×10⁻⁸ s and a 6×10⁹ kg mass in 7.7×10⁻⁵⁸ s — far below any resolvable timescale, with no role for an observer. reproduced ≠ discovered Quantum definite in ≲10⁻⁸ s (1 µm grain) under GRW/CSL objective collapse — no observer required PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0034 No lazy-PRNG structure found in the delivered quantum bits examined: 32,768 post-processed ANU vacuum-fluctuation bits (bias 0.0003, compression 1.003, next-bit prediction 0.501) and 56,832 SHA-512-whitened NIST beacon bits (bias 0.0006, compression 1.002, prediction 0.506), with weak-LCG and LFSR-32 controls correctly caught. Quantum null on delivered quantum bits — bounds the delivered stream, not the raw device PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0035 No floating-point artifacts in nature: naive machine-precision arithmetic as the substrate of physics is ruled out. Discreteness null result — naive floats ruled out PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0036 No discrete-clock signature: photon arrival times show no energy-dependent dispersion attributable to a fundamental tick. Discreteness null result — no dispersion PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0037 Framing, not evidence: a hard-cutoff one-loop integral diverges logarithmically, and renormalization absorbs that cutoff-dependence into the bare coupling so physical amplitudes are cutoff-independent. This is standard effective-field-theory bookkeeping with a complete non-simulation reading — the cutoff encodes ignorance of physics above it. Discreteness no discriminator — recorded as framing, not evidence PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0038 Recomputation of a known bound, not a measurement: evaluating the Bekenstein–Hawking bound S = A/(4ℓ_p²) for a sphere of radius 4.4×10²⁶ m gives 3.4×10¹²³ bits, about 10⁶² times fewer than one bit per Planck volume. Discreteness a recomputed bound (3.4e123 bits) — nothing was measured against it PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0039 Three separate results, stated separately. The quasar multipole battery (ℓ = 1–8, p = 0.226–0.495) draws its null from the data's own C_ℓ, so it is a self-consistency check that constrains nothing about isotropy. The eROSITA L_X–T residual dipole (amplitude 0.0996, p = 0.002) correlates with galactic-absorption proxies and is NOT claimed as cosmological pending an absorption-corrected refit. No shared axis was found among the measured axes at the sensitivity of a five-axis random-axis test (p = 0.20). Discreteness three separate results — one is not an isotropy test at all PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0040 No cubic lattice anisotropy in the quasar sky: cubic ℓ = 4 signal at p = 0.2298 (battery NULL, p = 0.230); any cube-aligned distortion is below 1.20% rms (95% CL). Discreteness null result — cube distortion < 1.20% rms (95%) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0041 Assuming the 31 GeV photon of GRB 090510 (z = 0.903) was emitted within Δt ≤ 1 s of the low-energy photons, linear-in-energy vacuum dispersion requires E_QG > 1.4×10¹⁹ GeV — of order the Planck energy. The limit scales exactly as 1/Δt and carries no quoted uncertainty on that association window. Discreteness E_QG > 1.4e19 GeV, of order Planck — scales as 1/Δt on an unquantified 1 s window PROVISIONAL 2026-07-09
USR-2026-0048 The GD-1 stellar stream shows no statistically significant density gap. The deepest local under-density (z = −5.0 in a single bin at φ₁ = −21°) has a look-elsewhere-corrected global significance of p = 0.587 across 39 bins and 5000 smooth+Poisson simulations — consistent with an unperturbed stream. Galactic dynamics global p = 0.587 — not significant PROVISIONAL 2026-07-12
USR-2026-0049 In the SPARC radial-acceleration relation, the parameter-free MOND acceleration scale a₀ is mildly disfavored. The canonical a₀ sits +2.6σ above the data's own per-galaxy median offset (+0.116 dex); the zero-parameter cosmological guesses cH₀/2π and cH₀/6 land at +1.6σ and +2.0σ; a free-fit a₀ is consistent (+0.3σ). Galactic dynamics canonical a₀ +2.6σ_median; free-fit +0.3σ_median PROVISIONAL 2026-07-12
USR-2026-0050 The vacuum of a free lattice scalar field carries entanglement entropy that scales with a region's boundary, not its volume: fitted 3D exponent 2.09±0.01 (area predicts 2, volume 3), 2D 1.05 (perimeter), 1D flat to 9 digits. Bekenstein–Hawking-like area scaling emerges from a bare field theory with no gravity input (Srednicki 1993, independently recomputed). reproduced ≠ discovered Information 3D exponent 2.09 (area = 2, volume = 3) — fit s.e. ±0.01, not an evidence σ PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0051 A globally static quantum state contains ordinary time evolution for internal observers: the solver-found null state of a clock+qubit constraint is stationary to machine precision (⟨H²⟩ ≈ 6×10⁻³⁰, global qubit maximally mixed), yet conditioned on the clock the qubit Rabi-oscillates at full amplitude, matching Schrödinger evolution to 4×10⁻¹⁶ (Page–Wootters 1983, recomputed). Time as clock–system entanglement in a toy model — not a claim about nature's time. reproduced ≠ discovered Information ⟨H²⟩ ≈ 6e-30 global · conditional evolution matches Schrödinger to 4e-16 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0052 The first law of entanglement δS = δ⟨K_A⟩ holds in an interacting transverse-field Ising ground state: the ratio reaches 0.9945 at ε=10⁻³ and relative entropy is positive and quadratic (log-log slope 2.05). This is the identity from which linearized Einstein equations emerge in holographic derivations (Faulkner et al. 2013), verified exactly in a spin chain. reproduced ≠ discovered Information δS/δ⟨K⟩ → 0.9945 at ε=1e-3 · rel. entropy positive, quadratic (slope 2.05) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0053 A polymer with zero energy in every configuration exerts a real tension matching T·dS/dx from pure state counting (Monte Carlo vs exact enumeration, max deviation 4.5×10⁻⁴). Verlinde's holographic-screen composition (Unruh temperature + N = Ac³/Għ bits + equipartition) returns Newton's F = GMm/r² to 2×10⁻¹⁶ — an algebraic identity given its assumptions, recorded as a consistency check, not evidence that nature's gravity is entropic. reproduced ≠ discovered Information entropic force real (4.5e-4 match) · Newton composition = algebraic identity, not evidence PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0054 In an exactly reversible HPP lattice gas (Loschmidt echo returns the initial state bit-for-bit), coarse-grained entropy rises in BOTH time directions away from a low-entropy initial state. The thermodynamic arrow of time lives in the boundary condition, not the dynamical laws (Boltzmann, demonstrated exactly). reproduced ≠ discovered Information arrow in the state, not the laws — echo bit-exact, entropy rises both ways PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0055 Space can be reconstructed from entanglement alone: fed only the mutual-information matrix of a 64-site oscillator ring (blindness proven by a permutation test), classical MDS recovers the ring at r = 0.995 against true geodesics with 93% of the spectrum in a single Fourier pair. Removing entanglement tears space by DISCONNECTION rather than distortion — surviving pairs keep r ≈ 0.99 while the graph shatters. reproduced ≠ discovered Information blind reconstruction r = 0.995; connectivity collapses 1.00 → 0 as entanglement is removed PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0056 The entanglement Hamiltonian of half the vacuum is a boost: at 200-digit precision the nearest-neighbour couplings ramp linearly with distance from the entangling cut (R² = 0.998–0.999), with the exact near-cut coupling t₁ = 3.141539 matching 2π/v_F to 1.7×10⁻⁵. The implied local temperature T(x) = 1/(2πx) is the Unruh effect on a lattice — and the T in Jacobson's Clausius relation. reproduced ≠ discovered Information boost linearity R² = 0.998–0.999 (200-digit); near-cut t₁ = π to 1.7e-5 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0057 Entanglement counts degrees of freedom: fitting the Calabrese–Cardy law to block entropies alone recovers the central charge c = 0.500062 for the critical Ising chain (CFT value ½, converging to 0.500013 on inner windows) and c → 1 for the free boson as the regulator mass goes to zero. Two universality classes, both counted correctly from entanglement with no other input. reproduced ≠ discovered Information c = 0.500062 (Ising, CFT ½) and c → 1 (boson) — read off entanglement alone PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0058 The thermofield double behaves exactly as ER=EPR describes a two-sided black hole: one side alone is perfectly thermal (trace distance 2.7×10⁻¹⁵ from the Gibbs state), the two-sided correlations equal the imaginary-time bridge correlator to 3.3×10⁻¹⁶, entanglement falls monotonically with β (hotter = more bridge), and the cross-side commutator is exactly zero. reproduced ≠ discovered Information one side exactly thermal (2.7e-15); bridge identity to 3.3e-16; commutator exactly 0 PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0059 A region of empty space has no state of its own: an 8-site block of vacuum has nonzero entropy and is mixed (1 − Tr ρ² = 0.988) while the whole ring is pure, and its mutual information with the complement equals exactly twice its entropy — 100% of an empty region's entropy is correlation with the rest. Proving correlations never vanish at maximum separation required 120-digit arithmetic (3.68×10⁻⁵⁷). reproduced ≠ discovered Information I(A:Aᶜ) = 2·S(A) exactly — an empty region's entropy is 100% correlation PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0060 NEGATIVE RESULT bounding a popular claim: in a finite spin chain, operations confined to k sites reach exactly 4^k dimensions — the full local-algebra bound, versus only 2^k on an unentangled product state — but that is merely 0.1–1.6% of the full 2^N space. A small patch does NOT reach the whole space in finite dimensions; full cyclicity needs k = N/2, where float64 fails outright (3264 of 4096). reproduced ≠ discovered Information reach = 4^k exactly — only 0.1–1.6% of the full space (not the whole) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0061 Entanglement transmits nothing: across 18 interventions on one half of a critical chain (Haar unitaries, projective measurements, non-unital channels, a hard reset) the other half's state is unchanged to 9×10⁻¹⁶, and its full eigenvalue spectrum moves by 4×10⁻¹⁶ — so every observable is unaffected, not merely the tabulated ones. Holevo information about which intervention was chosen is exactly zero against 4.25 bits of choice entropy at the source. reproduced ≠ discovered Information Holevo χ about the intervener's choice = 0 exactly (vs 4.25 bits at source) PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0062 The famous vacuum-energy discrepancy is not a number but a function of an assumption: against the observed 2.24 meV scale it is 10^120.7 at a Planck cutoff, 10^108.4 at GUT, 10^56.4 at 1 TeV, 10^41.6 at QCD, and exactly 1 at the observed scale by construction — four decades of exponent per decade of cutoff, with the loop-factor convention alone shifting every row by 2.2 dex. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy 10^120.7 at Planck cutoff — but 10^56.4 at a TeV; the exponent is assumption-laden, the problem is not PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0063 The anthropic bound on the vacuum energy explains far less than advertised: a four-way-validated linear growth ODE gives collapsed fractions 0.561, 0.210, 7×10⁻³, 6×10⁻⁹ as Λ grows ×1, ×10, ×100, ×1000, placing the ceiling at 6.4×, 35.5×, 108× the observed value at 50%, 10%, 1% thresholds. Granting a multiverse ensemble removes ~118.6 of 120.1 orders, leaving ~1.55; without granting the ensemble it explains zero. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy anthropic ceiling 6–108× observed; ~1.55 of 120 orders left over, and only if a multiverse is granted PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0064 The sharpest empirical handle on the vacuum: w = −1 is an identity for a true vacuum energy (Lorentz invariance forces T_μν = −ρ g_μν), not a fit parameter — so observation can test it. From this registry's corrected CPL fit (w₀ = −0.849, wₐ = −0.548), w crosses −1 at z = 0.380 and is phantom above it, at Δχ² = 6.97 on 2 dof = 2.16σ. That is NOT a detection: 24% of the way to 5σ, which needs σ(w₀) ≤ 0.030. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy 2.16σ — consistent with a constant vacuum, mildly prefers drift, not a detection PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0065 Our own measured modular temperature drives the thermodynamic derivation of gravity: reading the boost from the full modular dispersion gives β(x) slope = 3.141533 with R² = 0.9999999995, matching 2π/v_F to 2×10⁻⁵, and the Clausius relation δQ/T = δS closes to 6.6×10⁻⁵ using that temperature — while the naive infinite-space formula is 150% wrong. Λ enters the derivation as an integration constant permitted by the Bianchi identity, not as a sum of zero-point energies. reproduced ≠ discovered Information β(x) matches 2π/v_F to 2e-5; Clausius closes to 6.6e-5 on the measured temperature PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0066 The vacuum-energy problem splits cleanly along Lorentz invariance. Lorentz-VIOLATING regulators (hard 3-momentum cutoff, spatial lattice) give w = +1/3 AND a quartic divergence; Lorentz-INVARIANT regulators (Pauli–Villars, dimensional regularisation) give w = −1 exactly AND no power divergence at all. The two columns are the same fact: a K⁴ term has no m⁴ to carry it, so it must be built from a regulator scale — and a Lorentz-invariant regulator has no preferred frame to build one from. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy Lorentz-violating ⟺ w = +1/3 + quartic divergence; Lorentz-invariant ⟺ w = −1, no power divergence PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0067 The trace-free (unimodular) form of Einstein's equations is exactly blind to vacuum energy: shifting T_μν → T_μν + ρ_vac·g_μν leaves all 16 components of the trace-free field equation IDENTICALLY zero on a fully general metric — while the standard form picks up a residual of −κρ_vac·g_μν. In FRW the trace-free equation reduces to Ḣ = −4πG(ρ+p), which depends on matter only through (ρ+p), so a vacuum with p = −ρ contributes nothing at all. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy vacuum-energy shift leaves the trace-free equations exactly zero; Λ becomes an integration constant PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0068 The measured dark-energy drift is NOT the vacuum's renormalisation-group running, for three independent reasons. Magnitude: fitting the running-vacuum form to DESI DR2 + Pantheon+ + CMB gives ν = +0.0015 ± 0.0014 (1.07σ), while the QFT running implies ν ≈ 4×10⁵³ — a ratio of 10^56.4. Shape: w_eff(0) = −1 exactly for EVERY ν, an algebraic identity, against a measured w₀ = −0.849. Form: the irreducible m⁴ running renormalises the additive constant, not the νH² term, so it cannot be ν at any magnitude. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy ν = +0.0015 ± 0.0014 (1.07σ) vs a QFT-implied 4×10⁵³ — a 10^56.4 gap, and the shape is wrong too PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0069 Covariance audit of the live registry: of 56 live claims, exactly ONE (USR-2026-0003's local-structure half) uses diagonal errors on a dataset that ships a full covariance — and the registry had already flagged it. Re-running the flagship both ways quantifies the exposure: full covariance gives Δχ² = 6.973 (2.16σ), while dropping only the Pantheon+ off-diagonals inflates it to 17.934 (3.83σ) — a 1.77× significance inflation, the same mechanism that produced this registry's 6.8σ quarantine. reproduced ≠ discovered Dark energy 1 of 56 live claims exposed; diagonal errors inflate the flagship by 1.77× in σ PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0070 Discriminator audit of the emergent-gravity programme, applied to our own work: the thermodynamic-derivation wing has NO observational discriminator. Non-equilibrium Jacobson yields f(R), whose unscreened form is dead by 2.2×10⁴ in PPN γ (Cassini) and whose screened survivor reproduces ΛCDM for any f_R0 including zero. Logarithmic horizon-entropy corrections are 56–120 orders of magnitude too small at every accessible scale. Every zero-parameter holographic dark-energy member is dead. Ġ/G from G ∝ 1/N_horizon is dead by 293×. reproduced ≠ discovered Information NO discriminator in the wing we built; the one live prediction is systematics-limited PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0071 The discreteness map is complete, and the frame-independent flank closes by weak PREDICTION, not weak data: FIRAS and cold cosmic hydrogen exclude unsuppressed Planckian momentum diffusion ('swerves') by 65–111 orders of magnitude, but causal-set theory derives no value for the diffusion constant κ — candidate scalings span >100 orders, the massive and photon sectors cross their bounds at different suppression powers (n* = 3.8 vs 2.0), and the next rung down is unreachable by 10³–10³⁰. No feasible swerve measurement distinguishes a Lorentz-invariant-discrete universe from a continuum. reproduced ≠ discovered Discreteness no discriminator in practice — bounds crush candidates by 15–111 orders, theory predicts no rung PROVISIONAL 2026-07-26
USR-2026-0072 Everpresent Λ — causal-set theory's fluctuating cosmological 'constant' — splits cleanly. Its magnitude prediction is real: Λ_rms = 1/√V₄ evaluates to 1.39× the observed Λ with this registry's own fitted H₀ (the only advance prediction of Λ's size in physics), and it tracks H² at every epoch, dissolving the why-now coincidence. But its dynamics are excluded by this registry's own pipeline: 0 of 2000 wandering-Λ realizations fit DESI DR2 + Pantheon+ + CMB better than ΛCDM (ensemble-typical Δχ² ≈ +3000; best single draw +260), 14% recollapse before reaching us, and 97% flip the sign of ρ_Λ inside z ≤ 2.5 — so w(z) is typically not even definable, the wrong shape for the registry's smooth 2.16σ descent. Discreteness magnitude reproduced (1.39× observed); dynamics excluded — 0/2000 realizations beat ΛCDM PROVISIONAL 2026-07-31
USR-2026-0073 The substrate-noise window is OPEN and experimentally live: GRW's collapse rate λ = 10⁻¹⁶ s⁻¹ at r_c = 10⁻⁷ m survives every published mass-proportional CSL bound — the tightest (Majorana Ge X-ray, coherent-nuclear channel) leaves ×49 headroom — while Adler's λ ≈ 10⁻⁸·⁵ is excluded by ×7 to ×6×10⁵ and GRW's original 1986 non-mass-proportional coupling is dead. 36–57% of the historically proposed GRW-to-Adler parameter box survives. MAQRO-class space interferometry reaches 1900× past GRW's point on a ~10–15 year horizon. Quantum GRW alive by ×49 at the tightest bound; Adler dead; MAQRO closes the window in ~10–15 years PROVISIONAL 2026-07-31
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