Every claim, its computed status, and its receipts. Filter by status — the quarantine is not hidden; it is the front door.
| key | claim | domain | level | status | re-run |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USR-2026-0010 | A matched-filter cross-correlation of Planck SMICA with 756k Quaia quasars gives a positive temperature–galaxy cross-power at 2.2σ against a no-ISW null. Only the sign and 'at least ΛCDM level' are claimed: the fitted amplitude A = 5.00 ± 2.28 carries statistical error only. reproduced ≠ discovered | CMB | 2.2σ positive ISW cross-power; amplitude normalisation systematic-limited, NOT a tension | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0011 | Mode-counting scaling argument (not a Fisher forecast — no instrument noise models were used): if the significance of a horizon-scale primordial cutoff scales as the square root of the number of independent modes, then the 1.4σ CMB-temperature baseline tops out near ~2σ once partly-independent E-modes and LSS/ISW are added, because every probe at our epoch samples the same finite set of horizon-scale modes. | CMB | ~2σ ceiling from a mode-counting argument, not an instrument forecast | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0012 | The WMAP large-angle sky is anomalous: quadrupole 243 µK² (p = 0.052), cut-sky S_1/2 anomalous at p = 7.7×10⁻⁴ (3.2σ; 1.1×10⁻³ = 3.1σ under the literal full data path), and a 12.7° quadrupole–octopole alignment (p = 0.025). REVISED 2026-07-31: the earlier 'p < 0.0007' was a 0-of-1500 Monte-Carlo floor; the value above is measured on 10⁵ simulations with a beam-and-pixel-window-corrected null. reproduced ≠ discovered | CMB | ~3σ (cut-sky S_1/2) | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-31 |
| USR-2026-0013 | Planck SMICA independently confirms the large-angle missing power seen in WMAP (C₂ = 200 µK², p = 0.030). The quadrupole–octopole alignment does NOT independently confirm: the registered 3.0° came from an unmasked full-sky transform, while this seam's own masked estimator reports 23.8° (p = 0.085). reproduced ≠ discovered | CMB | C₂ = 200 µK² (p = 0.030) confirms missing power; alignment is 23.8° masked, not 3.0° | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0014 | The large-angle missing power survives all four map cleanings (D₂ = 243/200/184/198 µK²; S_1/2 anomalous at >3σ in every cleaning), while the alignment axis is fragile (3-30° spread). | CMB | >3σ missing power; axis fragile | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0015 | TE polarization does not decide the missing-power question: S_1/2^TE has p = 0.203, leaning low but not decisive. | CMB | p = 0.203 — not decisive | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0016 | Both Planck and WMAP weakly prefer a low-ℓ power cutoff (Planck Δχ² = 3.72 ≈ 1.4σ at ℓ_c = 2.6; WMAP ≈ 1.2σ at ℓ_c = 2.5) — a curiosity, not a detection. | CMB | 1.2-1.4σ — curiosity, not detection | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-31 |
| USR-2026-0017 | After look-elsewhere correction the joint large-angle boundary anomaly is 0.8–1.6σ. The 1.6σ is the most favourable end of that range, not a single answer: it assumes 5 effective independent looks (1.24σ at 10, 1.01σ at 15), and excluding the method-fragile alignment term leaves 0.75σ. | CMB | 0.8–1.6σ post-LEE — a range set by two stated choices, not a single number | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0020 | The hemispherical power asymmetry peaks at 2.0σ (p = 0.0250) at LMAX = 64 toward (l,b) = (228°, -24°) — 7° from Lepus — and vanishes (0.2σ) by LMAX = 96. reproduced ≠ discovered | CMB | 2.0σ at LMAX = 64; 0.2σ by LMAX = 96 | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-26 |
| USR-2026-0021 | No bubble-collision signature in the CMB: global p = 0.903 (0.0σ); the best local candidate is a cold disk of radius 10° at (214°, -27°) with local S/N 2.6, and the Cold Spot itself scores only 1.7. | CMB | null — p = 0.903 (0.0σ) | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0024 | The CMB low-ℓ variance dipole is significant in this pipeline: A = 0.102 toward (l,b) = (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 — zero of 200 ΛCDM realizations exceeded the observed amplitude, so 200 sims cap the reportable significance near 2.6σ. Single configuration; no second pipeline, cleaning or mask has confirmed it. reproduced ≠ discovered | CMB | A = 0.102 toward (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 (200-sim floor, ~2.6σ ceiling) | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0025 | The asymmetry axis is not a foreground: raw single-frequency asymmetries (0.212/0.161/0.476) and the 143-217 GHz difference point at the galaxy (within 3°), while the cleaned maps agree with each other — WMAP ILC 0.139 at 25° and Planck SMICA 0.151 at 24° from Lepus. | CMB | diagnostic — axis is not foregrounds | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0026 | The power asymmetry's excess over ΛCDM is confined to ℓ ≲ 40. The raw amplitude falls from A ≈ 0.107 to ≈ 0.02 across ℓ = 2–220, but the ΛCDM null falls across the same bands and the observed decline has not been shown to exceed it. Under a conservative mask the significance is 0.94σ (p = 0.173). | CMB | excess confined to ℓ ≲ 40; 0.94σ under a conservative mask | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0027 | No detection of either excess or deficit on the largest observable scale: P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08, i.e. 0.84σ from standard. The data do not require extra large-scale power and cannot exclude up to about 2.2× standard. Below k = 1.5×10⁻⁴ Mpc⁻¹ the reconstruction is formally unconstrained (errors 262% to 142001%). | CMB | P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08 — 0.84σ from standard, i.e. no detection either way | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0028 | Coordinate recomputation, no significance computed: the pipeline's measured asymmetry axis (221°, −24°) is RA 5.6h, Dec −17°, in Lepus, at ecliptic latitude −41°. Its separations from hardcoded reference directions are 13.9° (published Planck power-asymmetry direction), 23.9° (Dipole Repeller), 34.1° (CMB Cold Spot). | CMB | coordinate arithmetic only — no significance claimed or computed | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0029 | Conditional forecast, ratios only: in this computation σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T), so the four quoted sensitivities are one calibration and three mode-count ratios — E-modes are 84% independent of temperature at low ℓ, giving LiteBIRD E ≈ 2.5σ and T+E ≈ 3.4σ relative to a Planck-T value that is an INPUT, not a result. | CMB | ratios only: σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T); the 2.5 is an input | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0022 | A single super-horizon wave cannot cause the tilt: matching the dipole-free asymmetry requires λ ≥ 308× the observable diameter, while the observed quadrupole caps it at λ ≤ 4× — the window is shut. | CMB | killed — the vise (308× vs 4×) | KILLED | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0023 | The Quaia quasar-dipole excess (raw D = 0.0208, 9.9σ over shot noise) is not cosmological: adversarial magnitude and galactic-latitude cuts collapse it to D = 0.0066, inside the kinematic expectation band. | CMB | was 9.9σ raw — kinematic (0.0066) after cuts | KILLED | 2026-07-09 |