USR-2026-0015 · CMB
TE polarization does not decide the missing-power question: S_1/2^TE has p = 0.203, leaning low but not decisive.
PROVISIONAL
p = 0.203 — not decisive
re-run & confirmed 2026-07-09 (R0 — founder CI; independence pending)
The polarization cross-check that could have confirmed or refuted the temperature anomaly does neither. It leans the same (low) way but at p = 0.20 — recorded as inconclusive.
Falsify-box — how to kill this claim
UNTESTED
The claim asserts three things: p = 0.203, a low lean, and 'not decisive'. Re-measure S_1/2^TE with a science-grade low-l TE likelihood - Planck PR4/NPIPE low-l, or LiteBIRD when it flies - using a noise-inclusive null and a real mask, replacing run_boundary_polarization.py's full-sky unmasked cosmic-variance-only null on the public inpainted SMICA I/Q/U (field=(5,6,7), line 82). The claim is DEAD if the resulting p < 0.05 (TE decisively confirms the temperature deficit) or p > 0.95 (TE decisively refutes it) - either outcome destroys 'does not decide'. The 'leaning low' half is separately DEAD if p > 0.5. Because temperature is cosmic-variance limited, LiteBIRD-class low-l E-mode polarization is the named new observable that makes this test possible; no further cut of the existing temperature sky can do it.
Verification record — every quoted number, re-run 2026-07-09
| quantity | measured | verdict |
|---|---|---|
| S_1/2^TE p-value | p = 0.203 | MATCH |
| direction of lean | leans low | MATCH |
| polarization verdict | not decisive | MATCH |
Provenance
script: boundary_seam/run_boundary_polarization.py
script status: PRESENT
datasets: Planck low-ℓ TE · claim-scripts (downloadable from /data — run it yourself)
re-run: 2026-07-09
script status: PRESENT
datasets: Planck low-ℓ TE · claim-scripts (downloadable from /data — run it yourself)
re-run: 2026-07-09
Status, honestly
R0 pass 2026-07-09 | kill test added by the 2026-07-26 sweep. Status here is computed from evidence — the author cannot set it, and neither can we. Independent reproduction would move it; nothing else will.
§ Figures
2 from boundary_seam/run_boundary_polarization.py
What this claim's own script draws. These are the founder's committed outputs — the same plots the script regenerates on any machine that runs it.
