USR-2026-0006 · Dark energy

Holographic dark energy (Hubble-horizon HDE) is ruled out by information criteria: ΔAIC = +37.5 versus ΛCDM.

KILLED killed — ΔAIC +37.5 re-run & confirmed 2026-07-09 (R0 — founder CI; independence pending)

The horizon-synthesis fit tested HDE head-to-head against ΛCDM and the CPL family. It lost decisively — ΔAIC = +37.5 — and is recorded here as a self-kill.

AUTOPSY REPORT — killed (self, the most honored outcome here)

Date: 2026-07-09 · Epitaph: "Died by its own scorecard: ΔAIC +37.5 against ΛCDM on the combined fit. The horizon coincidence it chased (k_c ≈ 1/R_H) outlives it as an unexplained curiosity."

Falsify-box — how to kill this claim

TRIGGERED remain AIC-competitive with ΛCDM (ΔAIC < +10)

Verification record — every quoted number, re-run 2026-07-09

quantitymeasuredverdict
holographic DE ΔAIC +37.5 (dead) MATCH

Provenance

script: expansion_seam/run_horizon_synthesis.py
script status: PRESENT
datasets: DESI DR2 BAO · Pantheon+ · Planck CMB (compressed) · claim-scripts (downloadable from /data — run it yourself)
re-run: 2026-07-09

Status, honestly

kill test fired: ΔAIC = +37.5 vs ΛCDM. Status here is computed from evidence — the author cannot set it, and neither can we. Independent reproduction would move it; nothing else will.

§ Figures 2 from expansion_seam/run_horizon_synthesis.py

What this claim's own script draws. These are the founder's committed outputs — the same plots the script regenerates on any machine that runs it.

horizon_ladder.png 50.4 KB download
horizon_tournament.png 58.2 KB download
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