The Registry
Every claim, the status assigned to it, and its receipts. Filter by status — the quarantine is not hidden; it is the front door.Every test we armed against ourselves
Each claim in the registry ships the test that would kill it. 82 are on record. 10 have fired — taking 7 claims to the graveyard and putting 2 in quarantine. Every one of those kills was our own. 27 have never been run, which is the honest weak spot in this table.
| key↑ | claim | domain | status▪ | re-run↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USR-2026-0016 |
Both satellites weakly prefer a large-scale cutoff
Both Planck and WMAP weakly prefer a low-ℓ power cutoff (Planck Δχ² = 3.72 ≈ 1.4σ at ℓ_c = 2.6; WMAP ≈ 1.2σ at ℓ_c = 2.5) — a curiosity, not a detection.
1.2-1.4σ — curiosity, not detection
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-31 |
| USR-2026-0012 |
WMAP's largest angles are missing their power
The WMAP large-angle sky is anomalous: quadrupole 243 µK² (p = 0.052), cut-sky S_1/2 anomalous at p = 7.7×10⁻⁴ (3.2σ; 1.1×10⁻³ = 3.1σ under the literal full data path), and a 12.7° quadrupole–octopole alignment (p = 0.025). REVISED 2026-07-31: the earlier 'p < 0.0007' was a 0-of-1500 Monte-Carlo floor; the value above is measured on 10⁵ simulations with a beam-and-pixel-window-corrected null.
~3σ (cut-sky S_1/2)
reproduced ≠ discovered
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-31 |
| USR-2026-0020 |
The sky is lopsided, but only at large angles
The hemispherical power asymmetry peaks at 2.0σ (p = 0.0250) at LMAX = 64 toward (l,b) = (228°, -24°) — 7° from Lepus — and vanishes (0.2σ) by LMAX = 96.
2.0σ at LMAX = 64; 0.2σ by LMAX = 96
reproduced ≠ discovered
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-26 |
| USR-2026-0029 |
What polarization could add at low multipoles
Conditional forecast, ratios only: in this computation σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T), so the four quoted sensitivities are one calibration and three mode-count ratios — E-modes are 84% independent of temperature at low ℓ, giving LiteBIRD E ≈ 2.5σ and T+E ≈ 3.4σ relative to a Planck-T value that is an INPUT, not a result.
ratios only: σ_i = 2.5 × √(F_i/F_T); the 2.5 is an input
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0028 |
Where the asymmetry axis actually points
Coordinate recomputation, no significance computed: the pipeline's measured asymmetry axis (221°, −24°) is RA 5.6h, Dec −17°, in Lepus, at ecliptic latitude −41°. Its separations from hardcoded reference directions are 13.9° (published Planck power-asymmetry direction), 23.9° (Dipole Repeller), 34.1° (CMB Cold Spot).
coordinate arithmetic only — no significance claimed or computed
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0027 |
No excess or deficit on the largest scale of all
No detection of either excess or deficit on the largest observable scale: P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08, i.e. 0.84σ from standard. The data do not require extra large-scale power and cannot exclude up to about 2.2× standard. Below k = 1.5×10⁻⁴ Mpc⁻¹ the reconstruction is formally unconstrained (errors 262% to 142001%).
P/P_std = 0.09 ± 1.08 — 0.84σ from standard, i.e. no detection either way
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0026 |
The asymmetry lives only at the largest angles
The power asymmetry's excess over ΛCDM is confined to ℓ ≲ 40. The raw amplitude falls from A ≈ 0.107 to ≈ 0.02 across ℓ = 2–220, but the ΛCDM null falls across the same bands and the observed decline has not been shown to exceed it. Under a conservative mask the significance is 0.94σ (p = 0.173).
excess confined to ℓ ≲ 40; 0.94σ under a conservative mask
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0025 |
The lopsided axis is not our own galaxy
The asymmetry axis is not a foreground: raw single-frequency asymmetries (0.212/0.161/0.476) and the 143-217 GHz difference point at the galaxy (within 3°), while the cleaned maps agree with each other — WMAP ILC 0.139 at 25° and Planck SMICA 0.151 at 24° from Lepus.
diagnostic — axis is not foregrounds
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0024 |
The oldest light varies more on one side
The CMB low-ℓ variance dipole is significant in this pipeline: A = 0.102 toward (l,b) = (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 — zero of 200 ΛCDM realizations exceeded the observed amplitude, so 200 sims cap the reportable significance near 2.6σ. Single configuration; no second pipeline, cleaning or mask has confirmed it.
A = 0.102 toward (221°, −24°), p < 0.005 (200-sim floor, ~2.6σ ceiling)
reproduced ≠ discovered
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0021 |
No scar from a collision with another universe
No bubble-collision signature in the CMB: global p = 0.903 (0.0σ); the best local candidate is a cold disk of radius 10° at (214°, -27°) with local S/N 2.6, and the Cold Spot itself scores only 1.7.
null — p = 0.903 (0.0σ)
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0017 |
Counting the looks shrinks the large-angle anomaly
After look-elsewhere correction the joint large-angle boundary anomaly is 0.8–1.6σ. The 1.6σ is the most favourable end of that range, not a single answer: it assumes 5 effective independent looks (1.24σ at 10, 1.01σ at 15), and excluding the method-fragile alignment term leaves 0.75σ.
0.8–1.6σ post-LEE — a range set by two stated choices, not a single number
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0015 |
Polarization does not settle the missing power
TE polarization does not decide the missing-power question: S_1/2^TE has p = 0.203, leaning low but not decisive.
p = 0.203 — not decisive
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0014 |
The missing power survives every map cleaning
The large-angle missing power survives all four map cleanings (D₂ = 243/200/184/198 µK²; S_1/2 anomalous at >3σ in every cleaning), while the alignment axis is fragile (3-30° spread).
>3σ missing power; axis fragile
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0013 |
Planck confirms the missing large-angle power
Planck SMICA independently confirms the large-angle missing power seen in WMAP (C₂ = 200 µK², p = 0.030). The quadrupole–octopole alignment does NOT independently confirm: the registered 3.0° came from an unmasked full-sky transform, while this seam's own masked estimator reports 23.8° (p = 0.085).
C₂ = 200 µK² (p = 0.030) confirms missing power; alignment is 23.8° masked, not 3.0°
reproduced ≠ discovered
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0011 |
How far a bigger sky could push a cutoff test
Mode-counting scaling argument (not a Fisher forecast — no instrument noise models were used): if the significance of a horizon-scale primordial cutoff scales as the square root of the number of independent modes, then the 1.4σ CMB-temperature baseline tops out near ~2σ once partly-independent E-modes and LSS/ISW are added, because every probe at our epoch samples the same finite set of horizon-scale modes.
~2σ ceiling from a mode-counting argument, not an instrument forecast
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
| USR-2026-0010 |
Quasars and the oldest light correlate, weakly
A matched-filter cross-correlation of Planck SMICA with 756k Quaia quasars gives a positive temperature–galaxy cross-power at 2.2σ against a no-ISW null. Only the sign and 'at least ΛCDM level' are claimed: the fitted amplitude A = 5.00 ± 2.28 carries statistical error only.
2.2σ positive ISW cross-power; amplitude normalisation systematic-limited, NOT a tension
reproduced ≠ discovered
|
CMB | PROVISIONAL | 2026-07-09 |
Claims we killed, and what killed them
The growth index γ evolves from 0.41 (z < 0.3) to 0.10 (z > 1) — gravity weakens with redshift.
Died by its own kill test, on our own data, at our own hand. The 4.84σ evolution reproduces at 1.03σ with the sign reversed, no jackknife sample recovers it, and the claimed Δχ² is arithmetically unreachable given how well the no-evolution model already fits. The autopsy is the useful part: fσ₈ loses 93% of its sensitivity to γ by z ≈ 2, and γ is 91% correlated with σ₈ — so a high-z γ 'measurement' is mostly the amplitude degeneracy talking. Gravity does not weaken with redshift in this data; it looks like General Relativity (γ = 0.525 ± 0.077 vs 0.55). Post-mortem addendum: fixing a wrong fσ₈ point uncovered during the autopsy makes the evidence against this claim stronger, not weaker — γ_a moves from +0.63 to +1.19 while the claim requires about −0.68.
Sign-switching Λ (Λs-CDM) is NOT preferred by this data: ΔAIC = +1.50 versus ΛCDM with SH0ES included, with the vacuum flip at z = 3.11. The...
Published as weakly preferred at ΔAIC = −2.5; re-runs at +1.50, which is disfavoured. The whole reversal came from one transposed covariance block — the same Lyman-α pairing error that cost USR-2026-0001 a quarter of a sigma. Killed not because the idea is bad but because our own number was wrong, and the corrected number points the other way. The lesson is propagation: this claim sat unchanged for hours after the fix that invalidated it.
A Gaia wide-binary velocity analysis shows an apparent MOND-direction boost, but only under a clip-biased median estimator (residual 1.167). The...
Killed by its own estimator audit: the MOND boost lived only in the clip-biased median. Under the unbiased mean the wide binaries are Newtonian (0.948). The 28.7% clip rate in the a₀ regime was doing the work.
The Quaia quasar-dipole excess (raw D = 0.0208, 9.9σ over shot noise) is not cosmological: adversarial magnitude and galactic-latitude cuts...
The adversarial battery did its job: 9.9σ of raw excess collapsed to a kinematic D = 0.0066 under magnitude and latitude cuts. The dipole belonged to the catalog, not the cosmos.